Predictions of Oscar 2011

 

Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win at the 2011 Oscars?


The 2011 Oscar Nominations are in! Which means it's now time for us to gaze into our crystal ball and post our official Oscar predictions in time for the Feb. 27 ceremony.

Should Colin Firth start writing his speech? Will Natalie Portman dance away with her first Oscar? And what will win Best Picture: 'The King's Speech' or 'The Social Network'?

The Oscars are just around the corner, and it's time to get those brackets filled out. Okay, the Academy Awards haven't advanced to the level of bracketology, but they should.

Regardless, GotchaMovies has it's own bracket to fill out, and it's time to do it.


Here is a look at who we at GotchaMovies think will fill the spots for nominees at the 2011 Oscars. Comment, let us know if we are totally off-base, or show support for your favortie movie of the year.

These are all predictions. Come back to GotchaMovies when the nominees are announced!

Nomination List

Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids are Alright
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winters Bone

This is really a two horse race. The Social Network and The King's Speech are total locks, and one of the two will likely take home the prize. We could see a few indie-darlings make it with The Kids Are All Right and Winter's Bone (stil on the outside looking in). Winter's Bone has received a lot of awards already, and it seems to be slipping it's way off the bubble and into the nominations. The Fighter, Black Swan, and True Grit should make the field, while the two fan favorites of the summer, Inception and Toy Story 3 should definitely get a nomination as well.

Best Director

Nominees
David FIncher (The Social Network)
Tom Hooper (The King's Speech)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)
Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan)
Danny Boyle (127 Hours)


Will Win/Should Win:
The Social Network: David Fincher
Dark Horse: Tom Hooper

The only real surprise would be seeing The Coen Brothers get a nod for True Grit. It could happen, but it'd be hard to topple Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan, or Christopher Nolan for Inception. It's obvious the Oscars don't fall Nolan's way though, so don't put it past them to fully screw it up. Fincher could only be upstaged by Tom Hooper this year. Fincher should take this one.

Best Actor


Nominees
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)
Colin Firth (The King's Speech)
James Franco (127 Hours)
Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)
Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine)


Will Win:
 Colin Firth  The King's Speech
None  Dark Horse
Should Win: 
James Franco 127 Hours

Best Actress





The Best Actress award has to go to Natlie Portman. The perfect storm is really on the horizon for her. It's the perfect time in her career, she's had a lot of well received roles but not a lot of awards, and she's getting married and pregnant. It's going to happy it seems.

The real surprises will be in the nominees. Will Julianne Moore get the nod along with Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right? Will Diane Lane pull a Sandra Bullock and get in? Maybe Nicole Kidman returns to grace with her Rabbit Hole performance? Well, I don't think any of those will happen, and Michelle Williams gets the nod (making Blue Valentine 2/2 on it's leading actors).


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Nominees
Christian Bale  (The Fighter)
John Hawks  (The Town)
Geoffrey Rush  (The King's Speech)
Mark Ruffalo  (The Kids Are All Right)
Jeremy Renner  (
The Social Network)


Will Win:
Christian Bale   The Fighter
Geoffrey Rush  Dark Horse

Should Win:
John Hawkes


It's Christian Bale's to lose really. He's going to get it. Geoffrey Rush will grab a nod off of The King's Speech momentum, and Jeremy Renner should get some attention for The Town, but it's all a toss up after that. If True Grit plays well, Matt Damon could get the nod. You could see Mark Ruffalo get a nod for The Kids Are All Right (my prediction is he will). The Social Network could see Justin Timberlake get a nod, but it won't happen. Andrew Garfield should get a mention, but he deserves it for two movies. He'll get it for The Social Network, because the academy is just in love with it. You can feel it. Honorable mentions to Aaaron Eckhart and Bill Murray this year, but they are longshots.



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Hailee Stanfield (True Grit)
Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Dianne Wiest (Rabbit Hole)
Helena Bonham Carter (The King's Speech)







Will Win: Melissa Leo
Dark Horse: Hailee Steinfeld
Should Win: Jacki Weaver

It's a weak year for Best Supporting Actress. In fact, I only listed four possible nominees because I have no idea who will fill that fifth spot. It seems fairly certain that these four will get it, but there's no denying that Hailee Stanfield may have the in, simply because of her age. I'd watch out for Dianne Wiest, the verteran of the group, to perhaps steal this one. Helena Bonham Carter could complete a King's Speech sweep, and she's been on the good side of movies over the last five years.





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